Is there a problem with overuping armor chances?

[Linmakana]

I am happy using +4s

Fixed for me 

[dailydaily]

armors are probably treated one by one, so one piece of equipment wouldnt affect another

it does !!
that s why the probability comes to play .. each armor have 40% chance, still it means, 4 out of 10 should make !!

[Fidelis]

armors are probably treated one by one, so one piece of equipment wouldnt affect another

it does !!
that s why the probability comes to play .. each armor have 40% chance, still it means, 4 out of 10 should make !!

No, that's not what probability means. It means that it's possible to get ten +7 ... +8 armors (not sure what you're talking about), but it's also possible to get no armors at all, to destroy all of them. 40% is just the average when you try it with a high number of armors, let's say 1000000, then you should get around 400000 successfully upped armors. 10 is a far too small number for statistics.

[exDragon]

For upgrading and set of 20 +6 armors to +7 with an average of 40% success rate on each armor the chances of:

0 success:   0.00365616% chance
1 success:   0.0487488% chance
2 success:   0.3087423% chance
3 success:   1.2349691% chance
4 success:   3.499079% chance
5 success:   7.464702% chance
6 success:   12.4411699% chance
7 success:  16.5882266% chance
8 success:  17.9705788% chance
9 success:  15.9738478% chance
10 success: 11.7141551% chance
11 success: 7.0994879% chance
12 success: 3.549744% chance
13 success: 1.4563052% chance
14 success: 0.4854351% chance
15 success: 0.1294494% chance
16 success: 0.0269686% chance
17 success: 0.00423037% chance
18 success: 0.000470041% chance
19 success: 0.0000329853% chance
20 success: 0.00000109951% chance


I just found it strange my random testing led me to the bottom 1.596% of this table so when I heard other people also noticing something I thought I should ask.

[Waylander]

Ya, it seems like somethings wrong here because many ppl (including myself) have noticed that the odds are worse than they should be.
Now, with a bunch of ppl trying to overup and failing miserably I think that u'd be able to see something fishy here o.o
Either many ppl are very unlucky or theirs something messed up with the refining system.

[hunksurvivorx]

refining system is dead o.o, omg i refined 1m odin blessing and none +6