Help this get settled /desp

[Aozora]

it doesnt

ITS RANDOM, ITS ALL ABOUT LUCK!!1!
(luck, not luk-stat)

your stats only come in on brewing and forging. weapon and armor upgrades (on weapon case, on ws, the sucess rate depends on ws job lv - +10% if ws is job 70) on all the rest, its random. its completly random

Well it's not completely random =/
There's a fixed success rate depending on weapon level and the upgrade you're aiming for.

[levin]

well sometimes it works

ever heard of post hoc fallacy? ^^

even if it is a fallacy, it may be true (sometimes)!!

[notthecheatr]

So kind of like how a broken clock is right twice every day?

[Aozora]

Not exactly, ou know how people think that doing certain completely unnecessary and needless things, or have some objects that they think brings them luck. For example let's say you have a big test tomorrow, and you don't take a shower the day before, then the test goes really well, some people may start to think that the test went well because you didn't take a shower. This is further augmented if the event repeats once or twice, for example if you suddenly have a pop quiz and you didn't take a shower the day before for some reason, then the pop quiz goes well. The experience that not taking a shower has affect on your results is increased.

While in reality few coincidences like that don't mean anything. But people still believe in those and thus they wear their lucky pants or lucky jacket when going on a date, or they cross their fingers while anticipating something, or they put 99 LUK when going to upgrade armors and so on. That's a post hoc fallacy, tons of people have them.

[takhara]

Ironically enough, I had set my bio to max dex/luk before I went to refine some mufflers the other day- which usually, I break like 10 of before getting  6-8. I got a 7 on the first shot xD


....the others broke- cept another got to 7, but eh...I got lucky I guess.