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Old aRO Forums
The 'Other' Section => AnesisRO Archive => Archive => General Questions => Topic started by: exDragon on September 18, 2010, 11:12:12 am
Title: Is there a problem with overuping armor chances?
Post by: exDragon on September 18, 2010, 11:12:12 am
There are people that have not gotten a single +8 out of 100 armors. It should average to 17.361(value wrong, should be 52.08 so not as bad as I thought) armors per one +8. I my self have seen +5 and +6 working correctly but when you try to go to +7, you get a chance far lower then 40% chance. Taking 20 armors from +6 to +7 only 3 out of 20 of them actually made it to +7. That is 15%. That only has a 1.235% chance of even occuring assuming the chances of success is 40% (The chances of getting 3 or less success out of 20 items are 1.596%). I know twenty examples is rather small but taken with consideration of 100 armors and no +8 makes me wonder. I have also seen a lot of other people reporting it being harder to make overups.
Title: Re: Is there a problem with overuping armor chances?
Post by: exDragon on September 18, 2010, 11:20:57 am
delete repeat
Title: Re: Is there a problem with overuping armor chances?
Post by: exDragon on September 18, 2010, 11:22:51 am
delete repeat
Title: Re: Is there a problem with overuping armor chances?
Post by: Teggit on September 18, 2010, 11:24:12 am
I would be inclined to agree with your observations.
Title: Re: Is there a problem with overuping armor chances?
Post by: DreamerP on September 18, 2010, 11:32:40 am
I kind of want to agree but I'm pretty unlucky so yea maybe there is something off ???
Title: Re: Is there a problem with overuping armor chances?
Post by: Talvi on September 19, 2010, 04:09:53 am
:O
Title: Re: Is there a problem with overuping armor chances?
Post by: pepesmith on September 19, 2010, 04:26:58 am
I agree!...
I have upped 27glits only 3 got +7... and none to +8... :'(
Title: Re: Is there a problem with overuping armor chances?
Post by: Valentin on September 19, 2010, 05:25:42 am
Hey hows that new money sink you're working on doing Talis?
Title: Re: Is there a problem with overuping armor chances?
Post by: Razer on September 19, 2010, 05:47:10 am
Never made a +8 ever in aRO. +7 is pretty epic for me. Doesnt matter - the harder it is the more its worth lol.
Title: Re: Is there a problem with overuping armor chances?
Post by: Xia Xue on September 19, 2010, 09:22:26 am
people selling +8 stuffs must be really lucky i guess :(
Title: Re: Is there a problem with overuping armor chances?
Post by: dailydaily on September 19, 2010, 10:52:14 am
i upped morning .. 3 stone bucklers .. 2 made to +7, but i broke them both trying a +8. Yesterday, upped one +7 and got to +8. I may be lucky, but the system is really making stuff difficult. !!
i agree with u ! i got a +8 stone buckler for sale - 38mil :)
Title: Re: Is there a problem with overuping armor chances?
Post by: Razer on September 19, 2010, 10:55:46 am
I am happy selling +7s :)
Title: Re: Is there a problem with overuping armor chances?
Post by: pranetcoolman on September 19, 2010, 01:01:42 pm
armors are probably treated one by one, so one piece of equipment wouldnt affect another
it does !! that s why the probability comes to play .. each armor have 40% chance, still it means, 4 out of 10 should make !!
No, that's not what probability means. It means that it's possible to get ten +7 ... +8 armors (not sure what you're talking about), but it's also possible to get no armors at all, to destroy all of them. 40% is just the average when you try it with a high number of armors, let's say 1000000, then you should get around 400000 successfully upped armors. 10 is a far too small number for statistics.
Title: Re: Is there a problem with overuping armor chances?
Post by: exDragon on September 20, 2010, 10:18:34 am
For upgrading and set of 20 +6 armors to +7 with an average of 40% success rate on each armor the chances of:
I just found it strange my random testing led me to the bottom 1.596% of this table so when I heard other people also noticing something I thought I should ask.
Title: Re: Is there a problem with overuping armor chances?
Post by: Waylander on September 20, 2010, 05:35:37 pm
Ya, it seems like somethings wrong here because many ppl (including myself) have noticed that the odds are worse than they should be. Now, with a bunch of ppl trying to overup and failing miserably I think that u'd be able to see something fishy here o.o Either many ppl are very unlucky or theirs something messed up with the refining system.
Title: Re: Is there a problem with overuping armor chances?
Post by: hunksurvivorx on September 21, 2010, 05:22:47 pm
refining system is dead o.o, omg i refined 1m odin blessing and none +6